Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2418.998632 2625.801459 2836.081275 3065.594936 3308.740611 3558.349801 3833.654917
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2095.482223 2402.336477 2726.745368 3094.083132 3497.276327 3925.169892 4412.408004
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1870.790480 2234.738792 2630.814847 3091.455634 3609.984436 4173.197886 4828.706228
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1736.932759 2146.895741 2603.805620 3146.814778 3770.473924 4460.325743 5276.941097
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1583.940451 2021.573825 2520.264235 3124.808617 3831.896470 4626.876313 5582.147028
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1504.617613 1974.069060 2519.251825 3191.314617 3989.390344 4898.803430 6005.042742
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1411.390429 1902.208600 2482.750603 3209.949588 4085.985953 5096.886592 6340.657406
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1321.365751 1827.761988 2437.365477 3212.662499 4159.332250 5264.636734 6638.951881
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1193.678179 1698.459226 2317.777014 3118.315560 4109.852996 5281.871067 6755.183325
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1169.785362 1699.409830 2358.294861 3220.036701 4298.356395 5584.158562 7213.068756
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1132.162722 1679.798516 2370.705853 3285.007756 4440.784214 5830.905540 7605.408784
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1067.622487 1620.959945 2329.772301 3279.712764 4493.655989 5967.195646 7863.343249
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 992.777740 1545.618472 2265.560162 3243.590956 4507.949324 6057.624489 8068.616967
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 949.197055 1510.853047 2252.921876 3272.963873 4604.829445 6250.846913 8402.248257
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 896.800055 1460.906769 2217.501871 3270.227340 4658.848478 6389.554800 8668.138458
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 870.394320 1446.203665 2228.410093 3327.960985 4790.758233 6626.749099 9058.515220
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 817.404586 1390.448499 2180.722375 3305.012189 4815.629651 6727.101296 9276.432244
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 799.476878 1384.906195 2201.682008 3374.361866 4961.898650 6983.050794 9692.724534
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 766.255299 1354.898701 2186.935808 3393.790918 5041.286272 7153.012416 10000.357175
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 729.839382 1318.233233 2161.154197 3396.619335 5097.520741 7292.649985 10269.531314
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 664.971312 1234.628985 2064.939141 3298.240678 5014.497754 7248.602135 10300.287689
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 664.104746 1250.852353 2113.766772 3404.307377 5210.104132 7571.084725 10807.893592
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 652.289630 1249.021175 2135.653433 3472.035696 5353.635594 7825.913530 11229.281931